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Have you ever wondered whether Brazilian weather really moves coffee prices? In this project I use open data (Meteostat and yfinance) to link temperature, rainfall and the BRL/USD exchange rate to Arabica futures with a 40-day lag. I build a daily dataset, run a simple OLS model and create red-and-black visuals. In the notebook, every step of the Python code is explained so clearly that even a beginner can follow the full process.

The global outlook in late 2025 shows Europe emerging from a mild recession and the U.S. economy slowing but stable. The Fed keeps rates near 4%, while the ECB has begun easing. EUR/USD remains range-bound between 1.14 and 1.19 as investors await clearer policy signals. A gradual euro recovery is expected in 2026 as rate and inflation gaps narrow.

IEA Signals Looming Oversupply: What the Market Cannot Absorb in 2025 Introduction and Context In a recent interview, Toril Bosoni, Head of Oil Markets at the International Energy Agency (IEA), warned that the global oil market may not be able to absorb the expected increase in supply over the coming quarters. Her comments challenge the commonly held view that the market is structurally tight. Although demand from emerging markets—especially in Asia—continues to grow, the pac

Introduction Introduction Mergers and acquisitions (M&A) are a very persistent global phenomenon, dating back centuries, and extending across most countries of the world. They have experienced an unprecedented increase over the last decades by volume and value, with total number of deals in 2021 standing at 57,948 with a value of $5.2 trillion. 1 Since the year 2000, 790,000 deals have been announced amounting to $57 trillion in value. Despite the prominence of the phenomenon